Browse Data and Analysis

FAS Mumbai forecasts marketing year (MY) 2024/25 coffee production (Oct/Sep) at 6.2 million 60-kilogram bags, four percent higher than the previous forecast due to plentiful southwest monsoon rains that will improve Robusta crop yields.

Guatemala coffee area was updated by the National Coffee Association (ANACAFE), accurately reporting now 376,000 hectares (Ha) from previous 305,000 Ha. The updated area and number of trees do not affect previous data or production estimates. Guatemala maintains position 9 as the largest coffee exporter and 4th largest Arabica coffee exporter worldwide.

FAS India forecasts marketing year (MY) 2024/25 coffee production (Oct/Sep) at 6 million 60-kilogram bags. Deficit pre-monsoon rains (Mar/May) are expected to negatively impact yields, as fruit setting drops significantly in major growing regions.

FAS Mumbai forecasts marketing year (MY) 2023/24 (October-September) India coffee production at 5.9 million 60-kilogram bags, two percent higher than the previous estimate. Dry conditions from October through December are expected to result in higher Arabica yields, with less incidence of berry droppings and damage.

FAS Mumbai (Post) forecasts marketing year (MY) 2023/2024 coffee production (October-September) at 5.8 million 60-kilogram bags.

Guatemala’s coffee planted area remains steady at 305,000 (hectares) Ha but may shrink slightly in the middle term as other more profitable crops are starting to substitute some coffee areas.

FAS India forecasts marketing year (MY) 2022/23 coffee production (Oct/Sep) at 6.25 million 60-kilogram bags, nine percent higher than the official USDA estimate on above normal southwest monsoon rains (Jun/Sep) expected to improve yields, especially for Robusta varieties in major growing regions.

Guatemala maintains its 305,000 Ha of coffee, but harvested area is slightly reduced due to higher production costs, both inputs and labor. Production costs raised 32 percent as fertilizer prices continue doubling and migration is negatively impacting labor availability.

Post forecasts marketing year (MY) 2022/23 coffee production (Oct/Sep) to increase by 3.8 percent to 5.74 million 60-kilogram bags. Above normal pre-monsoon rains coupled with expectations of an early onset of normal monsoon are expected to improve yields, especially for Robusta in major growing regions.

Post estimates marketing year (MY) 2021/22 coffee production (October/September) at 5.53 million 60-kilogram bags. Unseasonal rains in November are expected to negatively impact Arabica crop yields and delay the harvest by at least two weeks, which will be offset by higher yields of Robusta leading to a six percent increase in overall coffee yields.

Guatemala coffee planted area in MY2021/2022 is forecast to remain steady at 305,000 Ha, but harvested area will increase 2 percent as planted trees mature.

Post forecasts marketing year 2021/22 coffee production to increase by 5 percent to 5.41 million 60-kilogram bags.