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After hitting low levels in MY 2023/24, Spain’s cotton production is set to rebound in MY 2024/25. Exports remain the main outlet for Spain’s cotton lint production. The projected recovery in production should allow exports to bounce back to average levels.

Early spring precipitations in Andalucía came as a relief, refilling water reservoirs. However, this allowed for only a marginal recovery in area planted to cotton, as rains arrived when planting plans were already in place and largely oriented to less water-demanding crops such as winter grains or early spring-planted sunflower.

Irrigation water limitations in the Guadalquivir basin have nearly halved cotton production in Andalusia, Spain’s main producing region.

The drought in Andalucía is anticipated to prevent further expansion of Spain’s cotton area in MY 2023/24. Irrigation water allocation will be critical for farmer’s planting decisions, and temperatures and pest incidence during the summer months will also determine final yields.

Irrigation water limitations in the Guadalquivir basin resulted in lower area planted to cotton for MY 2022/23 and a significant drop in yields. Cotton production has also been negatively affected by pest incidence. Industry sources argue that Spanish farmers should be eligible for cotton specific support despite the reduction in yields.

U.S. exporters can find ample opportunities in the Iberian Peninsula. Spain is the third-largest European Union (EU) destination for U.S. agricultural products, with Portugal ranking 11th. In 2021, the United States exported $1.6 billion of agricultural products to Spain, or 15 percent of total U.S. agricultural exports to the EU. The United States held a 4 percent market share of Spain’s agricultural imports and 2 percent market share in Portugal, behind other EU member states as a group and Brazil.

The drought in Andalucía is anticipated to drive down area planted to cotton in Spain in MY2022/23. However, cotton crop area is highly inelastic given the few alternative crops available, and the fact that a significant part of the CAP payment to cotton continues to be linked to production partially offsets the potential area reduction.

Irrigation water limitations in the Guadalquivir basin have resulted in lower area planted to cotton for MY2021/22.

The lack of alternative crops keeps Spanish cotton area highly inelastic. Despite good price expectations, tight water supplies in the Guadalquivir river basin and lower cotton specific payments may prevent Spanish cotton acreage from expanding...

The lack of alternative crops keeps Spanish cotton area highly inelastic.

Post anticipates a fifteen percent decline in Spanish cotton production for MY2020/21.

The slowdown in economic activity, in domestic and export markets, lowered the Spanish textile industry consumption of cotton lint.