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Growth in the agricultural sector slowed in the first nine months of 2024 due to extreme weather, particularly Typhoon Yagi, which severely affected crop cultivation and livestock farming.

In MY 2023/2024, Vietnam’s rice production appears to be remained stable compared to previous year. Despite a slight decline in harvested areas because of climate change as drought and salt-instruction. By adjusting the crop calendar and adopting new rice high-yield, disease-tolerance rice varieties have led to higher yields compared to the previous year, thereby, offsetting losses from reduced harvested areas.

In 2023, feed demand was low due to weak demand in Europe and the United States for Vietnamese produced aquaculture products. Post expects aquaculture and livestock production to rebound in the in MY 2024/25 increasing overall feed demand and as a result also increasing corn consumption. As domestic corn production remains uncompetitive with foreign imports, corn imports are forecast to grow Wheat imports are forecast to decline due to market volatility.

For MY 2024/25, Post estimates that wheat area harvested will total 195,000 hectares (ha), a 2.5 percent decrease from MY 2023/24 to due to high input costs and low prices. Wheat production will reach 1.17 million metric tons (MMT).

In September, Vietnam's rice export prices declined by 6 percent compared to the previous month with an average export price of USD 617 per ton.

In the first half of 2023, the Vietnam livestock and aquaculture industry faced numerous challenges which reduced feed demand including escalating input costs, African Swine Fever (ASF), market price volatility, weak demand, and intense competition from imported products.

In August, Vietnam's rice export prices surged by 22 percent compared to the previous month, reaching an average of USD 654 per ton.

India, the world’s largest rice exporter, disrupted global rice markets by banning white rice exports in July 2023, before placing an export tax on parboiled rice exports in August 2023.

In July, Vietnam's rice exports surged to 656,869 tons, with its primary export markets being the Philippines, Indonesia, Ivory Coast, Ghana, and China. Notably, shipments to the Philippines soared to 239,400 tons, marking a 45% spike from the previous month and securing a 36% share of the export market.

The report provides trade data on Vietnam's monthly rice exports by grades and destinations, and weekly quotes for export rice by grades.

Post revised its estimates for the Vietnam marketing year 2022/2023 (MY 2022/23) paddy harvest area and production forecast down to 7,162 thousand hectares (THA) and 43.15 million metric tons (MMT).

Chile is the second-largest South American market for U.S. agricultural products. Solid political institutions and a stable macroeconomic environment, combined with high consumer purchasing power, make Chile a lucrative market for U.S. producers of wheat, cheese, pet food, alcoholic beverages, and other consumer-oriented products.