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FAS/Tokyo forecasts Japan’s chicken production will rise in 2024 to meet strong demand led by tourist consumption in the foodservice sector. Increased chicken imports are needed to replenish depleted 2023 ending stocks.
Post forecasts a rebound in Korean poultry production for 2024, surmounting 2023 supply challenges to meet rising consumer demand for chicken meat.
FAS Bangkok estimates Thailand’s chicken meat production to marginally increase in 2023 amid a surge in exports, a slow recovery in the tourism sector and high feed costs.
Improved stocks at poultry breeder facilities and lower feed prices are forecast to increase chicken meat production by two percent in 2024.
Chicken meat production is forecast to decline from both white broiler and yellow broiler in 2024 due to import constraints the People’s Republic of China (PRC) placed on avian genetics and related materials for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI)-related reasons and for continued live poultry market closures.
In April 2023, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries (MAFF) implemented a special measure under the Compound Feed Price Stabilization System to augment feed compensation payments to livestock, poultry, and swine producers.
In early July 2023, after almost 50 years, the first outbreak of Newcastle Disease was confirmed on a Polish commercial farm keeping hens for slaughter, followed by three other outbreaks in the contact farms.
Located on the west coast of southern Africa, Angola borders the four nations of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the Republic of the Congo, Namibia, and Zambia. Approximately 10 percent of arable land is used for agriculture, with food production falling short of consumer demand, making Angola reliant on imports to meet its needs.
Chicken meat production is forecast to show moderate growth in 2024, based on a steady demand for this protein source.
After a notable chicken meat production decline in 2022, the Ukrainian poultry industry is expected to make a limited recovery in 2023-24.
The Government of Honduras implemented a new and complicated import permit system for the importation of rice and poultry that has caused major problems for U.S. shippers of these products and their customers.
FAS Manila lowers 2023 pork production to 925,000 MT on the recent arrival and expansion of African Swine Fever within the top remaining production regions of the Philippines while also lowering imports to 500,000 MT based on trade to-date and high carry-over stocks that are not currently reflected in the balance sheet.