Mexico: Fresh Deciduous Fruit Annual

Mexico’s overall outlook for fresh deciduous fruit in marketing year (MY) 2021/22 is expected to be positive on rebounding consumption after MY 2020/21 pandemic-related economic shocks. Apple consumption is expected to return to pre-pandemic levels, as the hotel, restaurant, and institutional (HRI) sector ramps up and vaccination efforts continue to stimulate school reopenings. Apple production is expected to increase by nine percent, mainly in Chihuahua, due to increased rainfall during May–July, saving the crop from drought. Pear production is expected to decline for the fourth consecutive year due to lack of investment in the sector. Fresh table grape production is expected to drop seven percent, as vineyards in Sonora and Baja California were negatively affected by drought and heat at key growing stages. Fresh deciduous fruit imports into Mexico are threatened where purchasing power is declining, particularly outside of HRI hotspots and higher-income market segments.