Browse Data and Analysis

FAS/Seoul forecasts Korea’s 2026 milk production to decrease to 1.93 million tons. Korean milk production continues to decline in line with industry contraction and demographic-driven consumption declines.

After the 2023 outbreak of bluetongue disease in Europe, the bluetongue virus (BTV) has now been detected in Lithuania. BTV infection is a non-contagious, insect-transmitted, viral disease that affects sheep, goats, and cattle.

In Marketing Year (MY) 2026, Chile’s dairy sector is projected to maintain steady growth, supported by strong milk production and favorable climatic conditions.

China's dairy market is currently saturated with excess fluid milk, driving farmgate prices down since mid-2022. While overall milk output is forecast to slightly decline in 2025 as smaller farms exit the market, large processors are investing in cheese, butter, and functional powders to capture higher-value segments.

Indonesia’s milk production increased to 722,883 metric tons in 2025, with record production projected for 2026, due to partial recovery from the 2023 Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak combined with significant cattle imports and improved management in modern dairy farms.

FAS/Canada projects modest milk production growth in 2026, driven by a slight increase in requirements for industrial milk, and steady consumption of fluid milk. Production of cheese and butter is also forecast to increase modestly in 2026, in the face of adequate stocks, and solid demand.

New Zealand fluid milk production for 2026 market year (MY) is forecast to remain stable at 21.9 million metric tons, reflecting the current favorable economic environment for the dairy sector.

Post forecasts Ukraine’s total fluid milk production in 2026 to decline further, due to decrease in cow inventory, industrial production challenges related to the Russia-Ukraine war, and inefficient household production.

India fluid milk production forecast for calendar year (CY) 2026 is up two percent over 2025. Largely consumed domestically, consumption is forecasted at 221.37 MMT in 2026. For butter, both production and consumption in 2026 are anticipated to increase by three percent over 2025.

On August 29, 2025, China notified a National Food Safety Standard for Modified Milk to the WTO under G/SPS/N/CHN/1287/Add.1. This national food safety standard includes a definition, requirements for raw materials, chemical and physical indicators, contaminant limits, and labeling for modified milk products.

The Republic of Korea’s (ROK) ice cream and frozen yogurt imports steadily grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14 percent from 2020 to 2024.

This monthly report includes information on U.S. and global imports of dairy products, including maximum quantities that can be imported under tariff-rate quota licensing.