Browse Data and Analysis

Overall, Indonesia’s total 2024/25 coffee production rose by approximately 2.4 million bags from the previous year. However, post revised down this 2024/25 production estimate 8 percent from the previous report’s estimate to 10 million bags as robusta crop recovery from severe weather impacts in 2023/24 underperformed expectations.

FAS Bogota estimates marketing year (MY) 2024/2025 Colombian coffee production at 12.9 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE), 1.1 percent higher from the previous year revised figure, reflecting continued recovery from favorable weather conditions and producers adopting improved agronomic practices to mitigate climate change shocks.

Brazil’s MY 2024/25 total coffee production is forecast at 66.4 million bags, 0.2 percent higher than the previous season. This timid growth comes in the aftermath of a strong period of adverse weather conditions in the main producing regions, which led to a decrease in initial estimates for the season.

Brazil’s total coffee production for marketing year 2024/25 (July-June) is forecast at 69.9 million bags (60 kilograms per bag), green bean equivalent, a 5.4 percent increase over the previous crop year.

MY2024/25 coffee production is forecast at 29 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE) as higher coffee prices encourage coffee farmers to invest more in production, helping to stabilize production.

Peru's coffee production and exports look to continue their recent growth trends and are expected to increase seven and six percent, respectively, in marketing year (MY) 2024/25. Production is forecast to reach 4.22 million 60-kilogram bags in MY 2024/2025, while exports are forecast at 4.07 million bags.

Honduras coffee production is expected to reach 5.5 million 60-kilogram bags in marketing year 2023/24, a twenty-four percent decrease from the previous year.

FAS/Managua anticipates coffee production in marketing year 2024/25 to rebound to 2.6 million 60-kilogram bags, as a return to average precipitation levels should support historical average yields.

In MY 2024/2025, Colombian coffee production is anticipated to reach 12.4 million bags of green bean equivalent (GBE). However, the pace of production recovery is hindered by El Niño, which has led to increased rates of borer infestation and affected some crops.

Indonesia’s 2024/25 coffee production is expected to recover to 10.9 million (60-kilogram) bags on favorable weather despite a delayed harvest in Southern Sumatera.

Mexico’s coffee production for marketing year 2024/25 is forecast at 3.89 million 60-kilogram bags. This represents a slight increase from previous years, driven by incentives to plant due to favorable coffee prices and ongoing efforts to improve coffee varieties.

FAS/San José projects marketing year 2024/25 coffee production to remain near record low levels, as exchange rate challenges, persistent labor shortages, and above average precipitation forecasts prevent the sector from rebounding.