Browse Data and Analysis

Brazil’s MY 2024/25 total coffee production is forecast at 66.4 million bags, 0.2 percent higher than the previous season. This timid growth comes in the aftermath of a strong period of adverse weather conditions in the main producing regions, which led to a decrease in initial estimates for the season.

Brazil’s total coffee production for marketing year 2024/25 (July-June) is forecast at 69.9 million bags (60 kilograms per bag), green bean equivalent, a 5.4 percent increase over the previous crop year.

MY2024/25 coffee production is forecast at 29 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE) as higher coffee prices encourage coffee farmers to invest more in production, helping to stabilize production.

MY 2023/24 coffee production is lowered 3.8 million bags to 27.5 million bags due to unfavorable weather conditions as a result of climate change and El Nino climate patterns.

Post decreases the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year 2023/24 (July-June) to 66.3 million 60-kg bags, based on a projected decline in robusta/conilon production. Post forecasts arabica production at 44.9 million bags, a 12.8 percent increase over the previous season, due to an increase in planted area and higher yield.

Post forecasts the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year 2023/24 (July-June) at 66.4 million 60-kg bags, an increase of 3.8 million bags compared to the previous crop. Post forecasts arabica production at 44.7 million bags, an increase of 12 percent from the previous season due to favorable weather conditions in growing regions.

Post revised its Vietnam marketing year 2022/2023 (MY 2022/23) coffee production estimate down to 29.750 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), based on lower yields, high production costs, and a drop in cultivation area.

The Agricultural Trade Office (ATO)/Sao Paulo estimate for the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 (July-June) was revised downward to 62.6 million 60-kg bags, a decrease of 1.7 million bags relative to the previous estimate, due to lower output in Arabica production.

Post revises its estimate of Vietnam marketing year 2022/2023 (MY 2022/23) coffee production down to 30.22 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), due to lower yields, despite abundant rainfall that supported the flowering and cherry setting stages.

Post revised the Vietnam marketing year 2021/2022 (MY 2021/22) coffee production estimate up to 31.58 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), on higher yield. Post revised MY 2021/22 exports up to 27 million bags thanks to increased exports in the first quarter of 2022, potentially steady demand, and the possibility of logistics improvements.

ATO/Sao Paulo forecasts the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 (July-June) at 64.3 million 60-kg bags, an increase of 11 percent compared to the last crop. Although Arabica trees are on the on-year of the biennial production cycle, production should be constrained by adverse weather conditions in 2021.

The Agricultural Trade Office (ATO)/Sao Paulo estimate for the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year (MY) 2021/22 (July-June) remains unchanged at 56.3 million 60-kg bags, a significant decrease of 19 percent compared to last year’s record output of 69.9 million bags.