Browse Data and Analysis

MY2024/25 coffee production is forecast at 29 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE) as higher coffee prices encourage coffee farmers to invest more in production, helping to stabilize production.

Mexico’s coffee production for marketing year 2024/25 is forecast at 3.89 million 60-kilogram bags. This represents a slight increase from previous years, driven by incentives to plant due to favorable coffee prices and ongoing efforts to improve coffee varieties.

MY 2023/24 coffee production is lowered 3.8 million bags to 27.5 million bags due to unfavorable weather conditions as a result of climate change and El Nino climate patterns.

Post revised its Vietnam marketing year 2022/2023 (MY 2022/23) coffee production estimate down to 29.750 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), based on lower yields, high production costs, and a drop in cultivation area.

The United States remains the top export market for Mexican coffee, including green, roasted, and soluble coffee.

Post revises its estimate of Vietnam marketing year 2022/2023 (MY 2022/23) coffee production down to 30.22 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), due to lower yields, despite abundant rainfall that supported the flowering and cherry setting stages.

Post revised the Vietnam marketing year 2021/2022 (MY 2021/22) coffee production estimate up to 31.58 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), on higher yield. Post revised MY 2021/22 exports up to 27 million bags thanks to increased exports in the first quarter of 2022, potentially steady demand, and the possibility of logistics improvements.

Mexico coffee production for marketing year (MY) 2022/23 is projected at 3.84 million 60 kg/bags, on optimal weather conditions during the fruit development stage in the top producing states that will improve yields, and sustained strong global prices that will incentivize optimal harvest.

Posts revised its forecast of Vietnam coffee production for marketing year 2021/2022 (MY21/22) up to 31.1 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), on improved weather conditions that supported yields.

Mexico coffee production for marketing year (MY) 2021/22 is forecast at similar levels to the previous MY, due to labor shortages and ongoing drought conditions in some states that are degrading tree and soil health.

Posts forecasts Vietnam coffee production for marketing year 2021/2022 (MY21/22) at 30.83 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), on improved weather conditions and irrigation that support yields.

In addition to preferential tariffs within the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), Mexico has two coffee import programs managed by the Secretariat of Economy in which U.S. exporters...