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EU27 beet sugar production for marketing year (MY) 2024/25 is projected to increase slightly by 4 percent to approximately 15.4 million metric tons (MMT), driven by favorable market conditions and expanded planting areas.
In 2024, Brazil recorded extreme weather events including the intensification of heat waves in several regions. Although the impacts of the fire outbreaks in the sugarcane production are difficult to estimate, the losses caused directly by the fires should not affect Brazil´s total sugar production in the MY 2024/25.
Turkiye’s beet sugar production in marketing year (MY) 2024/25 is forecast to decline year-over-year due to dry and hotter-than-normal weather conditions in the country’s beet growing areas.
Ukraine established a self-limiting trade measure for sugar to create long term trust with its neighbor.
MY2024/25 sugar production is forecast at 1.8 MMT, similar to FAS/Kyiv's previous MY estimate. Sugar beet production area will remain steady across MY2023/24 and MY2024/25, which could be an indicator that the sugar industry is adjusting to a “new normal.”
In MY 2024/25, the sugar beet area harvested is expected to slightly expand year-to-year as farmers switch to growing more beets in hopes of capturing higher returns compared to sunflowers and corn.
Brazil’s sugarcane fields performed exceptionally well in the marketing year (MY) April 2023 to March 2024, producing a record of 705 million metric tons (MMT).
EU27 beet sugar production for MY 2024/25 is projected to remain unchanged at 14.8 million metric tons (MMT), with increased cultivation across member states offsetting a slight decline in France.
The cane harvest and crushing continued through November in Brazil's main sugar-producing Center-South (CS) region with good weather and prices. Total sugar production is estimated at 41 million metric tons (MMT) for 2023/24. Exports are estimated at 32 MMT.
Post forecasts Brazil’s marketing year (MY, April – March) 2023/2024 sugarcane crush at 652 million metric tons (MMT), an increase of five percent compared to the final estimate for MY2022/23 (621 MMT).
EU27 beet sugar production forecast for market year (MY) 2023/24 is projected at 15.4 million metric tons (MMT), resulting from reduced beet acreage in France and increased plantings in other member states.
MY2023/24 sugar production is forecast at 1.5 MMT, a 13 percent increase compared to the previous MY estimate, as Ukraine returns to pre-war (CY2021) production areas of sugar beets.