Browse Data and Analysis

Despite area expansion by private sugar mills, a long, drawn-out El Nino in 2023/24 reduced both sugarcane and plantation white sugar production. The ongoing impact of El Nino will be immediately followed by the onset of the 2024 dry season combined with a predicted La Nina at the end of 2024, which are forecast to further reduce sugarcane and plantation white sugar production.

State-owned Indonesian energy company Pertamina will launch a new gasoline product containing 5 percent ethanol in late June 2023, utilizing ethanol derived from domestic sugarcane.

Private sugar mills expansion leads to increased production in 2022/2023. El Nino, which usually increases sugar content in sugarcane and continues area expansion by private sugar mills is forecast to further increase plantation white sugar production in 2023/24 to 2.6 million metric tons (MMT).

Private sugar mill expansion and higher rainfall as a result of La Nina weather patterns are expected to increase sugarcane yields, leading to increased sugar production in 2022/23. Despite the expected increase in production, imports of raw sugar are also forecast to increase, mainly due to higher sugar demand from the growing food and beverage industry.

Higher rainfall as a result of a La Nina weather pattern is expected to increase sugarcane yields, leading to increased production in 2021/2022.

A prolonged dry season in 2019 is expected to reduce 2020/21 sugarcane production to 27 million tons.

This report updates the 2018 Agricultural Biotechnology Annual Report.

Indonesia’s sugar sector remains highly regulated, with the government controlling imports and domestic market prices and supply chains.

The dry season is arriving later than average throughout Indonesia, thus allowing the expansion of third cycle crop plantings on unirrigated lands.

MY 2016/17 sugarcane tonnage grew as a result of La Nina conditions, although sucrose yields fell due to flowering.

Post’s marketing year (MY) 2015/16 wheat import estimate to Indonesia is revised from 7.6 to 8.9 million metric tons (MMT)..

Indonesian sugarcane production in marketing year (MY) 2015/16 is estimated to decline to 27.0 million metric tons (MMT) due to El Nino related weather conditions.