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This biannual report, published in May and November, includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in sugar.
MY2024/25 sugar production is forecast at 1.8 MMT, similar to FAS/Kyiv's previous MY estimate. Sugar beet production area will remain steady across MY2023/24 and MY2024/25, which could be an indicator that the sugar industry is adjusting to a “new normal.”
This monthly report provides information on U.S. sugar import and re-exports, including the fill rate of the sugar TRQs and sugar imports from Mexico.
Argentine sugar exports in marketing year (MY) 2024/2025 are projected at 625,000 tons raw value, the largest in the past 15 years due to the combination of expected large production and large stocks of sugar passed in from the previous marketing year.
MY 2024/25 sugar production is expected to recover from a 20 percent slump in MY 2023/24. Sugar consumption growth will likely decelerate in MY 2023/24 and MY 2024/25, following Thailand’s slow economic recovery and shrinking sugar demand by non-alcoholic beverage manufacturers due to the progressive sugar tax.
Argentine sugar production in marketing year (MY) 2021-2022 is forecast down at 1.55 million tons, raw value, due to early season dryness which is expected to negatively impact yields.
In MY 2021/22, Venezuelan sugar production is projected upwards to 190,000 MT.
EU sugar production for MY 2021/22 is forecast at 15.8 million metric tons (MT) in Raw Sugar Equivalents (RSE), a recovery of 1.1 million MT from MY 2020/21, but still 750,000 MT below the revised MY 2019/20 production.
Pakistan’s MY 2021/22 sugar production is forecast at 6.8 million metric tons (MMT), up 14 percent from the current year’s revised estimate, due to significant increases in area and sugarcane yields.
Sugar cane production in marketing year (MY) 2021 is forecast at 11.34 million metric tons (MMT), increasing two percent from the MY 2021 estimate.
In November 2020, hurricanes Eta and Iota flooded the Sula Valley. Approximately 2500 HA of planted sugarcane were lost and one sugar mill was disabled.
Australia’s sugar production is forecast to increase to 4.4 million metric tons (MMT) in marketing year (MY) 2021/22, from an estimated 4.335 MMT in MY 2020/21.