Browse Data and Analysis

According to preliminary model-based field crop estimates, spring wheat production in MY 2024/2025 fell one percent over the previous year on a 2.9 percent decline in area planted, partly offset by improved average yields.

FAS/Ottawa is forecasting total wheat production to reach 35.5 million metric tons (MMT) in marketing year (MY) 2024/25, an 11 percent increase over the previous year, because of significant improvements in crop conditions in the major wheat-growing...

In marketing year (MY) 2024/25, Canada’s total production of principal grains (wheat, durum, oats, barley, corn) is forecast to increase by 4.9 percent to 61.4 million metric tons (MMT) over the previous year on an additional 1.7 MMT of wheat production. In MY 2023/24, FAS/Ottawa is forecasting a 55 percent increase in corn imports over the previous year, on strong demand for animal feed due to the impacts of drought in the Prairie Provinces.

The UK is forecast to have one of the lowest grain crops on record in MY 2024/25 following challenging winter planting conditions, a very wet winter, and continued rains now disrupting crop management and spring plantings. Not only is this expected to significantly reduce the planted area, but also average yields.

In marketing year 2023/24, wheat production fell seven percent from the previous year to 31.95 million metric tons as severely low soil moisture in vast sections of Alberta and Saskatchewan reduced yields.

FAS Ottawa forecasts total wheat production to be 31.1 million metric tons (MT), down ten percent year-over-year (y/y) on lower yields due to widespread drought across the prairie provinces.

Wheat area rose to its highest level since 2001, at the expense of oats, rye, mixed grains, and lentils. Export volumes of wheat grain year-to-date (August to May) are up 78 percent over the same time last year, and wheat products (in grain equivalent) are up 21 percent.

MY 2022/23 has been overshadowed by the developments in Ukraine. However, high UK grain prices supported planting despite high input prices, especially for fertilizer and fuel.

The 2023 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2023 calendar year.

FAS/Ottawa forecasts total production of wheat, corn, barley, and oats to increase one percent in MY 2023/24 from the previous year, assuming yields return closer to historic averages and a six percent increase in wheat production offsets production declines in other crops.

The 2022 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2022 calendar year.

In the marketing year 2022/23, wheat production increased more than 50 percent from the previous year to 33.8 million metric tons on increased area planted and higher yields due to improved soil moisture.