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On October 18, 2024, China notified National Food Safety Standard for Sterilized Milk Amendment No. 1 to the World Trade Organization (WTO) under G/SPS/N/CHN/1322.

The United States has become a leading supplier of beef products to China since its reentry into the market in 2017. This report reviews the development of the beef market, analyzes prospects, discusses potential opportunities, and examines in detail the distribution channels of beef products in the China market.

Post forecasts domestic raw milk production to grow marginally due to improved dairy milk yield despite declining cow inventories in 2025.

The National Health Commission (NHC) and the State Administration of Market Regulation (SAMR) published the National Food Safety Standard for “Sanitary Practices for The Production of Cooked Meat Products” (GB 19303-2023) on September 6, 2023.

On August 21, 2024, the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) of the People's Republic of China (PRC) announced that it had initiated an anti-subsidy (i.e., countervailing duty or CVD) investigation on imports of certain dairy products originating from the European Union.

In 2025, Post forecasts both pork and beef production to decline. Lower domestic beef production is expected to help fuel further beef imports. However, Post forecasts pork imports in 2025 to remain at similar levels to 2024. Post forecasts pork consumption to decline in 2025 because of headwinds facing the economy and higher domestic pork prices.

Post’s 2025 forecast for China’s chicken meat production and consumption are up slightly from 2024. Post forecasts chicken imports to decline in 2025 due to increased domestic production and constraints on major supplying countries.

On July 11, 2024, China notified draft National Food Safety Standard Milk Protein to the World Trade Organization (WTO) under G/SPS/N/CHN/1303. China’s SPS Enquiry Point at sps@customs.gov.cn will accept comments until September 9, 2024. This report...

Post increased its estimate of raw milk production in 2024 due to a larger dairy cow inventory. Imports of fluid milk, whole milk powder (WMP), and skimmed milk powder (SMP) are estimated to all decline in 2024 due to higher domestic milk production.

On March 12, 2024, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) National Health Commission (NHC) and State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) jointly published 47 new or updated national food safety standards and six amendments.

Post forecasts economic headwinds will continue to impact consumption of both pork and beef in 2024. Swine and pork production in 2024 will be marginally down 3 percent as persistently low live hog and pork prices weigh on producers.

Post’s 2024 forecast for China’s chicken meat production and consumption are modestly down from 2023. Production and consumption are both forecast lower year to year while trade volumes are flat for imports and exports, in comparison to official 2023 data.