Browse Data and Analysis

On October 4, 2024, the Philippine Department of Agriculture amended Department Order No. 16 (2024), removing mechanically deboned or separated meat of chicken (HS Code 0207.14.91) from the list of agricultural products subjected to a price-based special safeguard (SSG) measure. T

Post forecasts demand for dairy products to increase 2 percent to 3 million metric tons (MMT) in liquid milk equivalent (LME) in 2025.

In 2025, Ukraine’s fluid milk production will decrease slightly due to growth in the size and productivity of industrial farms, despite a larger decrease in dairy cow inventory.

Post expects livestock numbers and beef production to continue their decrease through 2025. Beef production efficiency remains low, with the majority of beef derived from dairy and dual-purpose animals.

FAS Manila forecasts 2025 chicken meat imports to grow slightly, reaching 480,000 MT as demand continues to outpace domestic supply. Chicken meat production in 2025 is expected to increase at 1.63 MMT ready-to-cook (RTC), up by about 4 percent year-on-year.

Ukrainian chicken meat production recovered in 2024 and is expected to continue its slow recovery in 2025, with total production still below the pre-full-scale invasion level. Ukraine’s largest producer, MHP SE, reports stable production at full capacity.

FAS Manila forecasts 2025 beef/carabeef and pork imports at 226,000 and 510,000 metric tons carcass weight equivalent, respectively. Strong economic growth, moderating inflation, and forecast population increases support higher meat imports in 2025.

Fueled by Filipinos' fondness for food indulgences, rising disposable incomes, and increasing urbanization, the $1.2 billion confectionery and ice cream market is expected to see robust growth of eight percent annually through 2028.

In 2023, Ukraine's cattle inventory and beef production remained on a three-decade-long downward trend. The decrease in consumer numbers and comparatively high beef prices resulted in a domestic consumption drop and increased exports of both live cattle for slaughter and beef.

Ukraine’s chicken meat production continued to recover in 2023, driven by low feed costs and stable energy supplies and macroeconomic environment. Facing lower world market poultry prices in the first three quarters of 2023, Ukrainian poultry producers concentrated on import replacement on the domestic market and exports to the European Union, under the tariff- and quota-free access granted to Ukraine in solidarity after Russia’s full-scale invasion.

On December 22, 2023, President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. signed Executive Order No. 50 (EO 50) extending lower tariffs on pork, corn, and rice for another year or until December 31, 2024. EO 50 was published on December 26, 2023, and took effect immediately upon publication.

The Philippine Department of Agriculture released "Guidelines on Targeted Vaccination as a Complementary Tool for the Control of Avian Influenza (AI)" on November 3, 2023.