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In 2025, Ukraine’s fluid milk production will decrease slightly due to growth in the size and productivity of industrial farms, despite a larger decrease in dairy cow inventory.
Post expects livestock numbers and beef production to continue their decrease through 2025. Beef production efficiency remains low, with the majority of beef derived from dairy and dual-purpose animals.
Ukrainian chicken meat production recovered in 2024 and is expected to continue its slow recovery in 2025, with total production still below the pre-full-scale invasion level. Ukraine’s largest producer, MHP SE, reports stable production at full capacity.
While the United States holds a 5-year average of less than 1 percent market share ($20.7 million in 2023 exports), Senegal has a growing food manufacturing industry that seeks cost-competitive ingredients and is expanding its exports to neighboring countries.
In 2023, Ukraine's cattle inventory and beef production remained on a three-decade-long downward trend. The decrease in consumer numbers and comparatively high beef prices resulted in a domestic consumption drop and increased exports of both live cattle for slaughter and beef.
Ukraine’s chicken meat production continued to recover in 2023, driven by low feed costs and stable energy supplies and macroeconomic environment. Facing lower world market poultry prices in the first three quarters of 2023, Ukrainian poultry producers concentrated on import replacement on the domestic market and exports to the European Union, under the tariff- and quota-free access granted to Ukraine in solidarity after Russia’s full-scale invasion.
Ukraine’s dairy cow inventory decreased drastically after the full-scale Russian invasion in February 2022. The industry had to reduce the number of animals due to supply chain disruptions for raw milk delivery to processing facilities. In 2022...
Ukraine’s cattle inventory is expected to remain on its historical downward trend in 2023 and 2024. Exports of live cattle and beef will remain strong as lower disposable incomes result in decreased domestic demand.
After a notable chicken meat production decline in 2022, the Ukrainian poultry industry is expected to make a limited recovery in 2023-24.
After a major decrease in 2022, Ukraine’s cattle and swine population is expected to decline further in 2023. Although some war-related factors have already had their negative impact, the refugee crisis, disposable income drops, and a weakened economy are expected to depress livestock sector development further.
Although it initially decreased after the war began, Ukraine’s chicken meat production remained stable in 2022. The production was impacted by significant cost increases predominately associated with more expensive trade logistics and a turbulent macroeconomic environment.
Ukrainian poultry products were approved for export to the Canadian market as Ukrainian and Canadian regulators signed a bilateral veterinary certificate for poultry and processed poultry products in November 2022.