Browse Data and Analysis

In marketing year (MY) 2022/23, Colombia's sugar production is forecast to remain unchanged at 2.3 million metric tons (MT). Although weather conditions are expected to return to normal, crop productivity could be affected by lower fertilizer use due to rising prices.

Indian centrifugal sugar production in market year (MY) 2022/2023 (October-September) is forecast to decline three percent to 35.8 million metric tons (MMT), equivalent to 33.4 MMT of crystal white sugar after a record production of 36.8 MMT (equivalent to 34.4 MMT of crystal white sugar) in MY 2021/2022.

Post forecasts Kenya’s sugar production will decrease 4 percent in marketing year (MY) 2022/23 from 690,000 metric tons (MT) to 660,000 MT due to lower sugarcane yields as high fertilizer prices trigger lower application.

Post forecasts that the South African sugar cane crop will expand by 9 percent to 18.8 million metric tons (MT) in the 2022/23 market year (MY), based on a return to normal weather conditions, an improvement in yields, and marginal increases in planted area.

With expected normal rainfall patterns over the main sugarcane production zones, Post forecasts sugar production in the Dominican Republic to be 630,000 metric tons (MT) in Marketing Year (MY) 2022/2023 (October/September), a 2 percent increase over the previous period last year.

Sugar production in marketing year MY 2022/23 is forecast to decrease to 530,000 MT, down five percent from the MY 2020/21 estimate, due to fertilizer and pesticide price increases during 2021, and despite a slight increase in planted area of 1,000 hectares.

Post forecasts sugar production in Marketing Year (MY) 2023 to decline by 50,000 MT to 2 million MT, as high fertilizer prices lead to reduced yields. Production for MY 2022 is also lowered to reflect the damage to sugar farms in December 2021 by Typhoon Rai (local name Odette).

Earlier investments in mechanization, irrigation, and co-generation of electricity for the national energy grid have helped insulate the sugar industry from domestic political instability, but access to and pricing of fuel and fertilizer could negatively affect sugarcane production in marketing year 2022/23.

Sugar production recovered to normal levels between 10 and 11 million metric tons in MY2021/22 and will remain at those same levels in MY2022/23 due to high fertilizer costs and limited acreage expansion. The recovery in exportable sugar supplies will help boost raw and refined sugar exports in MY2021/22 and MY2022/23.

Jamaica’s raw sugar production in Marketing Year (MY)2021/2022 was 40,450 MT, eight percent lower than the previous MY. In MY 2022/23, Post projects 38,000 MT of sugar due to falling production.

In marketing year 2022/2023, Guatemala is forecast to produce 2.6 million metric tons of sugar from sugarcane from a harvested area of 258,000 hectares.

Australia’s sugar production is forecast to increase to 4.45 million metric tons (MMT) in marketing year (MY) 2022/23, from an estimated 4.12 MMT in MY 2021/22. This increase is due to an expected rise in sugar cane crush to 32 MMT in MY 2022/23, from an estimate of 30.1 MMT in the previous year.