Browse Data and Analysis

Although exports of poultry to the Dominican Republic are on pace to set historic records in 2022, the United States continues to lose export market share from Brazil. As of June, 2022, the United States has accounted for 56 percent (22,074 MT) of total poultry exports to the DR (64,392 MT); Brazil has accounted for 44 percent (17,429 MT) of those exports after only accounting for 25 percent in 2021 and 0 percent in 2020 and prior.

Malaysia again extended the subsidy for the poultry industry until December 2022 to stabilize the price of whole chicken (processed and sold with head, feet, and organs) and eggs, as stated by the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Industries (MAFI) on Sunday, October 9, 2022. In total, Government of Malaysia (GOM) allocations for chicken and egg subsidies from February to December 2022 will amount to RM1.233 billion (USD$265.16 million).

In June 2022 the Government of Guatemala confirmed that poultry products exported to Guatemala no longer need the USDA export mark on every box, and instead USDA can apply the mark on every consignment, pallet, or transportation unit. This has resulted in more efficient export clearance times with reduced labor, dock space and loading time which ultimately translates into better poultry prices for consumers.

As the economic environment in Angola has improved, Angolan chicken meat imports also recovered, increasing 57 percent in 2021. Post expects 2022 imports will show slight year-over-year growth as well. In 2021, Angola was the world’s seventh largest importer of U.S. chicken meat by value ($125 million).

Taiwan is the seventh-largest market for U.S. agricultural exports. Taiwan has vibrant urban communities and a highly developed e-commerce industry that provides convenience for customers, all which support Taiwan’s continued demand for safe and high-quality food products. In addition, evolving consumption trends suggest customers are increasingly looking for western-style food options that cannot be locally sourced. Since domestic food production alone cannot match increased food demand, agricultural imports will continue to play an important role in Taiwan’s retail food economy. While trade barriers exist and competition intensifies, opportunities to increase U.S. agricultural exports remain promising.

On September 29, 2022, Qatar’s Ministry of Public Health published updated precautionary requirements for some imported foodstuffs lifting a ban on U.S. poultry and poultry products from all U.S. states.

Ukraine’s chicken meat production is expected to decline by over 8 percent in 2022. The industry is experiencing significant problems with inputs procurement, in-country, and export logistics, domestic consumer base decrease, and labor force shortages.

After two consecutive years of reduced chicken production in 2021 and 2022, Korea’s chicken production is projected to recover by 1.6 percent to 945,000 metric tons (MT) in 2023 due to increased chicken inventory and rising consumer demand.

Post forecasts production at 14.85 million metric tons in 2023, up three percent due to strong external demand and improved domestic consumption, setting a historical record. Consumption for 2023 is forecast at 9.85 million metric tons, growing two percent. Brazil is expected to continue to be the world’s largest exporter of chicken meat and Post forecasts a six percent increase for 2023 totaling 5 million metric tons.

Post forecasts Japan’s 2023 chicken meat production rises marginally and overcomes surging production costs as strong demand for chicken is driven by recovery in the food service industry under a boost from returning international tourism.

On September 21, 2022, Kuwait’s Ministry of Commerce and Industry issued administrative decree number 1895 for the year 2022 adopting a regionalization model to the county level for U.S. outbreaks of Highly Pathogenic Avian influenza (HPAI). The decree lifted a previous ban on all non-heat treated poultry meat (fresh, chilled, frozen, and processed), poultry products and table eggs from 24 U.S. states. The decree also includes changes for other trade partners. An unofficial translation for the decree is included in this report.

FAS Bangkok forecasts that growth in chicken meat production and consumption will be 2-3 percent in 2022 and 2023. The anticipated slow recovery in domestic consumption and high production costs caused by supply disruption on feed grains and day-old chicks will keep the growth rate below the pre-pandemic average annual growth rate.