Browse Data and Analysis

India is gearing up for a record wheat harvest in market year (MY) 2024/2025. FAS New Delhi (Post) forecasts India's wheat production at 112.5 million metric tons (MMT), thanks to the timely and record plantings of wheat, which benefitted from favorable weather conditions from the time of planting through the reproductive growth stages.

Good vegetation conditions in the east and center regions in Algeria bode for a rebound in MY 2024/25 wheat harvest.

FAS/Tokyo forecasts an increase in corn imports and consumption in MY2023/24 and MY2024/25 due to softening global prices and the rebound of the layer population following the recovery of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza outbreaks.

The outlook for Mexican grain production in marketing year (MY) 2024/2025 is higher year-on-year for corn, wheat, rice, and sorghum based on farmer planting decisions on more average weather conditions and a gradual recovery from exceptional drought conditions.

With the development of several billion-dollar projects and nearly 30 million visitors a year, the future for U.S. grain exports is bright. Post anticipates Saudi rice imports to increase approximately five percent over the next several years due to expansions in the food service sector.

On February 29, 2024, India's Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (MoAFW) released its Indian crop year (ICY) 2023/2024 (July-June) Second Advance Estimate. The MoAFW is forecasting grain production (excluding the summer crop) lower at 309.3 million metric tons (MMT) compared to 313.6 MMT last year on expected lower production of rice, corn, and other coarse grains, while wheat and barley production is forecast higher at new record levels.

Marketing year 2023/2024 wheat production is expected to drop sharply to around three-quarters of last year’s level as a result of the June drought and excessive rains in the fall of 2023 that affected Kazakhstan’s major grain producing Northern region.

Argentine wheat production for marketing year (MY) 2023/2024 is estimated at 15.4 million tons, 400,000 tons higher than USDA official as yields were higher in the final phase than earlier expected. Corn production for MY 2023/2024 is projected at 57...

Wheat, corn, and barley production in MY 2023/24 are forecast at or near record levels due to favorable weather during much of the growing season. Consequently, import demand for these three grains is projected lower year-to-year. Similarly, rice...

Based on below average rain and soil moisture conditions, Post projects lower than average wheat and barley production for the 2024/25 season. As a result, Post projects wheat imports to remain elevated. Post 2023/24 wheat import estimate aligns with...

Ukraine’s MY2023/24 harvest features higher grain production volumes across the board than the previous year. By the end of 2023, Ukraine independently resumed operations of its major marine ports on the Black Sea, Chornomorsk, Odesa, and Pivdennyi...

Corn and wheat production for marketing year (MY) 2023/2024 are forecast lower based on less planted area and unfavorable weather conditions. Rice and sorghum production are forecast to increase.