Browse Data and Analysis

FAS Rangoon (Post) forecasts Burma’s rice and corn exports larger in MY 2022/23 due to strong demand from African, EU, and ASEAN countries. Post forecasts Burma’s wheat imports down in MY 2022/23 due to low domestic demand, restrictions on buying of foreign currency, and changing import policies.

Post forecasts smaller Burmese rice exports in March due to a smaller supply; however, Burmese rice exports will remain strong due to high world prices and anticipated strong demand from African and EU countries, China, and the Philippines.

Post forecasts that Burmese rice exports will continue to rise in February in anticipation of regular demand from China through official channels, increased broken rice demand from EU countries, continued demand from regional countries, and a rebound in demand form African countries.

Post forecasts higher Burmese rice exports in January in anticipation of regular demand from China through official channels, increased broken rice demand from EU countries, and continued demand from the Philippines.

Post forecasts higher Burmese rice exports in December. This forecast anticipates active demand from Africa, China, and EU countries during the new crop harvest and the reopening of Burma-China border gates.

Post forecasts higher Burma’s rice export in November in anticipation of active demand from China and EU countries during harvest of the new crop.

Post forecasts Burma’s rice export lower in October due to the continued closure of all border checkpoints along the Burma-China border, poor demand from African and EU countries, and high shipping costs.

Post forecasts Burma’s rice exports lower in September due to the continued closure of all border checkpoints along the Burma-China border, poor demand from African and EU countries, and high shipping costs.

Post forecasts lower rice exports in August due to the closure of all border checkpoints along the Burma-China border and poor demand from African and EU countries.

Burma’s corn production is estimated at 2.57 million metric tons in both MY 2020/21 and MY 2021/22 due to high price incentives.

Burma’s rice exports in June are forecast lower due to the continued closure of several check points along the Burma-China border and lower demand from EU countries.

Wheat consumption is forecast to decrease in 2021 due to economic contraction and cash shortages post-coup and the continued negative impact from COVID-19.